Data-driven prediction and evaluation model for explosion damage in reinforced concrete columns with densified stirrups
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摘要: 钢筋混凝土(RC)柱是工程结构中的核心承重构件,在爆炸荷载作用下可能发生破坏,甚至引起结构的整体倒塌。因此,快速且准确地评估爆炸作用下钢筋混凝土柱的损伤状态对保障结构安全和采取防护措施至关重要。本研究提出了一种基于机器学习(ML)的数据驱动模型,用于预测爆炸荷载作用下RC柱的损伤指标。研究构建了一个包含3133个样本的综合数据库,融合了259个文献数据样本和2874个数值模拟补充数据样本。该数据集不仅包含了RC箍筋均匀分布柱,还包含了符合抗震设计要求的RC箍筋加密柱。选用11个关键参数作为输入特征,钢筋混凝土柱的损伤指标作为输出特征。利用6个ML模型对爆炸荷载作用下钢筋混凝土柱的损伤指标进行预测,并采用四项回归评价指标对六种模型的预测精度进行对比分析。结果表明,表格先验数据拟合网络(TabPFN)展现出最优的预测精度和泛化能力,其在测试集上的R2高达0.989,MAE值和RMSE仅为0.018和0.03。进一步利用SHAP(SHapley Additive exPlanations)方法对TabPFN模型进行可解释性分析。分析表明,炸药重量、爆炸距离及柱截面深度是主导RC柱损伤程度的关键特征。值得注意的是,体积配箍率在提升RC柱抗爆性能方面的贡献度显著优于纵筋配筋率。最后,通过与有限元模拟结果的对比分析,验证了TabPFN模型在未见工况下具备优异的泛化性能。在计算效能方面,该模型单次损伤预测耗时仅约0.5 s,较传统数值模拟方法的计算效率显著提升了近4个数量级。本研究建立的模型实现了爆炸荷载作用下RC柱损伤的快速、精准预测,为结构抗爆优化设计及灾后快速评估提供指导。
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关键词:
Abstract: Reinforced concrete (RC) columns serve as core load-bearing members in engineering structures. Under explosive loads, they may sustain damage and potentially trigger the collapse of the entire structure. Therefore, rapidly and accurately assessing the damage state of reinforced concrete columns subjected to explosive forces is crucial for ensuring structural safety and implementing protective measures. This study proposes a data-driven model based on machine learning (ML) to predict damage indices of RC columns under explosive loading. The study constructed a comprehensive database comprising 3,133 samples, integrating 259 literature-derived data samples and 2,874 numerically simulated supplementary data samples. This dataset encompasses both uniformly reinforced RC columns and densely reinforced RC columns meeting seismic design requirements. Eleven key parameters were selected as input features, with RC column damage indices serving as output features. Six ML models were employed to predict damage indices under explosive loading, and their predictive accuracy was comparatively analyzed using four regression evaluation metrics. The results indicate that the Tabular Prior-data Fitted Network (TabPFN) demonstrated optimal prediction accuracy and generalization capability, achieving an R² value of 0.989 on the test set with MAE and RMSE values as low as 0.018 and 0.03, respectively. Further interpretability analysis of the TabPFN model was conducted using the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) method. Analysis indicates that explosive weight, detonation distance, and column cross-section depth are the key features governing RC column damage severity. Notably, the contribution of volumetric stirrup reinforcement ratio to enhancing RC column blast resistance significantly outperforms that of longitudinal reinforcement ratio. Finally, through comparative analysis with finite element simulation results, the TabPFN model was validated to exhibit excellent generalization performance under unseen operating conditions. In terms of computational efficiency, the proposed model achieves a single-prediction inference time of approximately 0.5 s, representing a significant efficiency gain of nearly four orders of magnitude compared to conventional numerical simulation methodsThe established model enables rapid and precise prediction of damage to reinforced concrete columns under explosive loading, providing guidance for structural blast-resistant optimization design and post-disaster rapid assessment.-
Key words:
- Reinforced concrete columns /
- Explosive loading /
- Machine learning /
- Damage assessment
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