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数据驱动的箍筋加密钢筋混凝土柱爆炸损伤预测与评估模型

王帅帅 赵春风 邬成勇 李晓杰

王帅帅, 赵春风, 邬成勇, 李晓杰. 数据驱动的箍筋加密钢筋混凝土柱爆炸损伤预测与评估模型[J]. 爆炸与冲击. doi: 10.11883/bzycj-2025-0409
引用本文: 王帅帅, 赵春风, 邬成勇, 李晓杰. 数据驱动的箍筋加密钢筋混凝土柱爆炸损伤预测与评估模型[J]. 爆炸与冲击. doi: 10.11883/bzycj-2025-0409
WANG Shuaishuai, ZHAO Chunfeng, WU Chengyong, LI Xiaojie. Data-driven prediction and evaluation model for explosion damage in reinforced concrete columns with densified stirrups[J]. Explosion And Shock Waves. doi: 10.11883/bzycj-2025-0409
Citation: WANG Shuaishuai, ZHAO Chunfeng, WU Chengyong, LI Xiaojie. Data-driven prediction and evaluation model for explosion damage in reinforced concrete columns with densified stirrups[J]. Explosion And Shock Waves. doi: 10.11883/bzycj-2025-0409

数据驱动的箍筋加密钢筋混凝土柱爆炸损伤预测与评估模型

doi: 10.11883/bzycj-2025-0409
基金项目: 工业装备结构分析优化与CAE软件全国重点实验室开放基金(GZ24120);新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学重点基金(2022D01D33)
详细信息
    作者简介:

    王帅帅(2000- ),男,硕士研究生,2024171090@mail.hfut.edu.cn

    通讯作者:

    赵春风(1983- ),男,博士,教授,zhaowindy@hfut.edu.cn

  • 中图分类号: O389

Data-driven prediction and evaluation model for explosion damage in reinforced concrete columns with densified stirrups

  • 摘要: 为了快速且准确地评估爆炸作用下钢筋混凝土(reinforced concrete, RC)柱的损伤状态,提出了一种基于机器学习(machine learning, ML)的数据驱动模型,用于预测爆炸荷载作用下RC柱的损伤指标。为训练该模型,构建了一个包含3133个样本的综合数据库,融合了259个文献数据样本和2874个数值模拟补充数据样本。该数据集不仅包含了RC箍筋均匀分布柱,还包含了符合抗震设计要求的RC箍筋加密柱。选用11个关键参数作为输入特征,并将钢筋混凝土柱的损伤指数作为输出特征。利用6个ML模型对爆炸荷载作用下钢筋混凝土柱的损伤指标进行预测,并采用四项回归评价指标对6种模型的预测精度进行对比分析。结果表明,表格先验数据拟合网络(tabular prior-data fitted network, TabPFN)展现出最优的预测精度和泛化能力,其在测试集上的决定系数高达0.989,平均绝对误差和均方根误差仅分别为0.018和0.030。进一步利用SHAP (Shapley additive explanations)方法对TabPFN模型进行可解释性分析。分析表明,炸药质量、爆炸距离及柱截面深度是主导RC柱损伤程度的关键特征。值得注意的是,体积配箍率在提升RC柱抗爆性能方面的贡献度显著优于纵筋配筋率。最后,通过与独立有限元模拟工况的对比分析,表明TabPFN模型能够较好地拟合数值计算结果,作为代理模型在未见工况下具备良好的预测稳定性。在计算效能方面,该模型单次损伤预测耗时仅约0.5 s,较传统数值模拟方法的计算效率显著提升了近4个数量级。
  • 图  1  现场试验示意图[23]

    Figure  1.  Sketch of field test[23]

    图  2  外部中柱细节[24]

    Figure  2.  External center column detail[24]

    图  3  中柱有限元模型

    Figure  3.  Finite element model of the central column

    图  4  跨中最大位移对比

    Figure  4.  Comparison of maximum mid-span displacements

    图  5  钢筋混凝土柱的截面配筋构造形式

    Figure  5.  Cross-sectional reinforcement forms for reinforced concrete columns

    图  6  有限元模拟

    Figure  6.  Finite element simulation

    图  7  无损柱和爆炸受损柱轴力-位移曲线

    Figure  7.  Axial force-displacement curves of undamaged and blast-damaged columns

    图  8  方法流程图

    Figure  8.  Method flowchart

    图  9  算法模型示意图

    Figure  9.  Schematic diagram of the algorithm model

    图  10  5折交叉验证

    Figure  10.  5-fold cross-validation

    图  11  6种算法的预测值与真实值的比较

    Figure  11.  Comparison of predicted value and actual value for six algorithms

    图  12  TabPFN模型的SHAP值

    Figure  12.  SHAP values for the TabPFN model

    图  13  6组测试工况下的RC柱有限元归一化损伤指标云图(侧视图)

    Figure  13.  Finite element scaled damage measure contours of RC columns under six test cases (side view)

    表  1  钢筋材料参数

    Table  1.   Reinforcing steel material parameters

    钢筋截面面积/mm2屈服强度/MPa极限强度/MPa
    W0.53.22441513
    D16.45399610
    D532.20449513
     注:W0.5表示0.005 in2,D1表示0.01 in2,D5表示0.05 in2
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  收集的文献数据统计

    Table  2.   Statistics of collected literature data

    方法 数量 年份 来源
    数值模拟 9 2018 文献[25]
    数值模拟 28 2021 文献[26]
    数值模拟 36 2021 文献[27]
    试验 4 2022 文献[8]
    试验+数值模拟 2+180 2023 文献[10]
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  收集数据的参数范围

    Table  3.   Parameter ranges for data collection

    参数 范围 参数 范围
    柱高 500~6000 mm 纵筋配筋率 0.2%~3.2%
    柱宽 80~1200 mm 体积配箍率 0.2%~2.4%
    柱深 80~800 mm 轴压比 0~0.8
    混凝土立方体抗压强度 30~60 MPa 炸药质量 0.15~120000 kg
    纵筋屈服强度 400~500 MPa 爆炸距离 0.09~80 m
    箍筋屈服强度 335~500 MPa
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  4  数值模拟的钢筋混凝土柱参数范围

    Table  4.   Parameter ranges for reinforced concrete columns in numerical simulation

    参数单位符号选择值或范围
    柱高mmH300040005000
    柱宽mmw300,400,500,700
    柱深mmh300,400,500,600,700
    混凝土立方体抗压强度MPafcu30,45,60
    纵筋屈服强度MPafy400,500
    箍筋屈服强度MPafs335,400
    纵筋配筋率%ρl1~2.79
    体积配箍率%ρv0.48~1.67
    轴压比Nr0,0.1,0.2,0.4
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  5  钢筋混凝土柱爆炸参数范围

    Table  5.   Range of explosion parameters for reinforced concrete columns

    参数 符号 单位 选择值
    炸药质量 W kg 5, 10, 15, 20, 35, 50, 100, 200, 250, 400, 500, 700, 1000, 1500, 2000, 4000
    爆炸距离 S m 1,2,4,6,8,10,15,30
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  6  模型中的关键超参数

    Table  6.   Key hyperparameters in the model

    模型 超参数 搜索范围 最优值
    DT max_depth (3, 21) 20
    min_samples_leaf (1, 10) 1
    min_samples_split (2, 10) 3
    Splitter {best, random} best
    RF n_estimators (100, 500) 500
    max_depth (3, 16) 16
    min_samples_leaf (1, 10) 1
    min_samples_split (2, 10) 2
    XGBoost max_depth (3, 16) 8
    learning_rate (0.05, 0.3) 0.05
    n_estimators (100, 1200 700
    LightGBM num_leaves (6, 50) 44
    min_data_in_leaf (1, 10) 3
    learning_rate (0.05, 0.3) 0.05
    n_estimators (100, 1000 700
    MLP hidden_layers (1, 5) 3
    nodes (12, 24) 16
    solver {adam, sgd} adam
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  7  每个机器学习模型的性能指标

    Table  7.   Performance metrics for each machine learning model

    模型数据集R2eMAEeRMSEeMedAE
    DTTraining set0.9980.0070.0140.005
    Testing set0.9700.0290.0500.015
    RFTraining set0.9960.0100.0170.006
    Testing set0.9810.0260.0400.018
    XGBoostTraining set0.9990.0060.0080.004
    Testing set0.9860.0240.0340.018
    LightGBMTraining set0.9970.0110.0160.008
    Testing set0.9840.0240.0360.018
    MLPTraining set0.9840.0260.0360.019
    Testing set0.9580.0390.0590.024
    TabPFNTraining set0.9970.0080.0150.005
    Testing set0.9890.0180.0300.011
     注:粗体值表示模型在这方面表现最佳
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  8  6组测试工况的几何尺寸及爆炸荷载参数

    Table  8.   Geometric dimensions and explosion load parameters for six test conditions

    工况H/mmw/mmh/mmfcu/MPafy/MPafs/MPaρl/%ρv/%NrW/kgS/m
    C15000400400454003351.570.970.3301
    C25000400400454003351.570.970.13005
    C35000450450454003351.501.300.4301
    C45000450450454003351.501.300.43005
    C55000600600404003351.641.760.1301
    C65000600600404003351.641.760.23005
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  9  TabPFN模型预测值与有限元模拟结果的对比

    Table  9.   Comparison of TabPFN model predictions with finite element simulation results

    工况D损伤程度
    有限元模拟值TabPFN模型预测值相对误差/%
    C10.6920.6831.30重度破坏
    C20.7150.7220.98重度破坏
    C30.3820.3761.57中度破坏
    C40.5700.5552.63重度破坏
    C50.3930.4155.60中度破坏
    C60.4570.4511.31中度破坏
    下载: 导出CSV
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  • 收稿日期:  2025-12-18
  • 修回日期:  2026-07-18
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